Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Parsing the posturing

“I know our fans are very emotional and that’s what we love about them,” Steinbrenner said. “But I’ve got to do my job on behalf of the partnership and our partners and everybody else involved in the organization. [Brother and co-chariman] Hank and I need to keep a level head and realize that we’re running a business here. We have to remain somewhat objective and we’re going to do that.”

So it’s a business now, is it Hal? I do believe he has a more level head than his father and definitely better than his brother Hank, but the “we’re running a business here” stuff only works if you are playing fair with a guy like Jeter or Rivera. If you’re nickel-and-diming those guys and trot out that line, we the fans are going to skewer you and that’s a promise.? You want to use that line with the Johnny Damons of the world, cool. Just treat these two with respect; they’ve earned it.

As far as the remaining objective part…just like in that ARod opt-out/renegotiation? Just ask Hank how that worked out when he was running the ship.? Keeping a level head should mean locking?Hank in a closet.?Or muzzling him, as I wrote in one of my earliest blog postings. Moving on…

So what’s the right number to start at, for either side? If I am Casey Close, Jeter’s agent, I start at his 2010 salary: $21 million.?? If I am Cashman and the Yankees, I start around $12 million or so, knowing damn well I’m preparing to march further north than William Tecumseh Sherman ever did.? Close will ask for five years; Yankees three. I’ve said for a while that I think the base salary lands around the 3 years, $45 million ($15m per) range, along with expected kickers for milestones and such. I’d add a option that vests upon something like games played. I’d also add a lifetime services contract that pays him some $3-5 million per year to be seen around the park. FanGraphs crowdsourced this one and the results were right in line with my guesstimate. Some smart folks think Jeter will earn plenty? Others guessed close to this as well.

Let’s say that the estimate above is at least in the ballpark of what Jeter might actually sign for.? It does, in my opinion, also represent what will surely be the largest offer out there. The Angels are not going to top this. Neither will the RedSox, or Tigers, or Twins, etc.? I don’t think there is some “mystery team” out there who sees Derek Jeter as a $20 million/year player any more. Way back in 2008, I called the Jason Varitek contract battles with Boston a proxy for this upcoming Jeter battle. Two years later, there are some things in that posting which can now viewed as silly and fairly off-base/naive, but the thrust remains:

But I am hopeful, optimistic, homer-iffic in thinking that Jeter/Close won’t be looking for a 6 year deal at age 37. But there is a part of me that fears they will and fears more that Hank & Hal will be too scared not to relent. If Jeter wants to retire a Yankee and only play for this team his entire career, he’s going to have to adapt to the changing needs of the team and the changing level of his performance.

To me, anything over the $15m/year times three years is ultimately bidding against yourself. If Jeter signs a five year, $100 million dollar contract, it will only prove to me that the Steinbrenner boys cannot hold their own at the negotiating table.? Let’s make one thing clear: Jeter and the Yankees just concluded what will likely go down in baseball history as the most successful ten-year contract ever. Jeter generated 43.1 WAR over that period, which is remarkable. I don’t think either side would say they didn’t get their value out of the 10 year, $189 million dollar transaction.? The question is: Will both sides be able to say the same at the end of this last transaction?

I hope so.

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Potential Trade Chip: Nick Swisher

Over the next few days I’ll be taking a look at some players currently on the roster who may be used in trades this off-season. This is the first installment.

Nick Swisher is apparently a very polarizing figure. Some fans love him, whether because of what he does on the field or off of it (or both) while others seem to despise the guy. His most recent former team, the Chicago White Sox, couldn’t get rid of him fast enough, dumping him in New York for a return of a bag of balls, a sack of bats, and an “I Love NY” t-shirt after Ozzie Guillen publicly feuded with Swisher over his batting average and fondness for drawing walks when opposing pitchers would throw him four balls.

His reception with the Yankees organization has been much warmer, but there are apparently no shortage of fans that don’t like the guy. In the past 2 weeks, I’ve heard just about everything you could imagine about Swisher. He can’t hit in October. His defense is bad. He’s a clown who doesn’t take the game seriously enough. He changes his haircut too much (yes, I really saw that one). All of these people agree; Nick Swisher has to go (and be replaced by either Carl Crawford or Jayson Werth).

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Tuesday, November 2, 2010

More facepalm for Yankees fans

Yankee fans are hardly perfect, but to lob a grenade like this one, while your team is still playing, is just low:

“I think particularly in Game 3 of the World Series they just blew away anything I’ve seen in any venue during the postseason. I thought Yankee fans, frankly, were awful. They were either violent or apathetic, neither of which is good. So I thought Yankee fans were by far the worst of any I’ve seen in the postseason. I thought they were an embarrassment.”

I was at Game 3 of the ALCS with Will and while there was plenty of anti-Texas Rangers jeering (no different than the anti-Yankee stuff we hear over the TV, every game), I saw nothing close to “violent” or “apathetic”. Just witness to Cliff Lee dismantling our team. I didn’t see this, though. Then again, I am not the owner of the opposing team sitting in the front row for all to see and jeer.

Mr. Greenberg, it must be nice having the most perfect fans in all the wholest world ever.

Other teams have fans who puked on someone intentionally, or attacked an opposing coach, or thrown things on the field, or fought with cops, or dumped beer on an opposing player, or generally be so unruly that the team banned alcohol as a result, or berated the bullpen.

In other words, every team’s fanbase has their bad apples.

Or everything Philly gets called out for.

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Greenberg evidently doesn’t care for the taste of shoeleather

Given his rather inflamatory comments earlier today, Rangers’ president Chuck Greenberg nearly tore a hammy during this backpedal:

Hours after going on radio, Greenberg retreated, calling both Hal Steinbrenner, the Yankees’ managing general partner, and Randy Levine, the Yankees’ president, to apologize for his remarks.

Greenberg then issued a formal apology in which he stated that he “unfairly and inaccurately disparaged fans of the New York Yankees.’’

“Those remarks were inappropriate,’’ the statement added. “Yankees fans are among the most passionate and supportive in all of baseball.’’

Mr. Greenberg, if you want to hate the Yankee fans, do it. Just do it right. Do it with conviction, even if we vehemently disagree. We can handle and respect hate (RedSox fans have been doing/saying worse for longer) much more readily than we tolerate politician-like backtracking. Make a stand, man and defend it if you believe in it. Otherwise, you look like a wuss.

How’s that shoe taste?

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Why so quick to throw dirt on Joba?

I totally get the anti-Joba stuff out there. We all want to see “2007 Joba” again. However, I think we’re all fairly well adjusted to the fact that the 2007 Joba, fire-breathing, saliva-spraying demon ain’t coming back. Injury, misuse, whatever. But what I don’t quite understand is why so many of us are willing (eager?) to send a 25 year old away for the nearest bag of baseballs is beyond me. Case in point:

There will be no important jobs waiting for him. If he isn’t traded, Chamberlain will enter spring training as a member of the bullpen with a chance to be the eighth-inning guy, but with no guarantees.

OK, Joba might not be the heir apparent to Mo anymore. That’s fine. Can’t he just be a useful piece of the team and we can put the 2007 season further in our rearview mirrors? His numbers this year weren’t great, but they were better than most of the MSM (and hypercrazy fanboys) would like you to believe:

SplitGSO/BBBAOBPSLGOPSBAbiptOPS+sOPS+
1st Half392.86.282.341.389.731.370112100
2nd Half344.63.220.270.379.648.2758679

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This is a guy who had a great deal of “bad luck” as evidenced by the high BABiP in the first half and was saved by some good luck in the second half. Whether you believe in luck as an outcome or as something self-generated, the guy did put up a GREAT 4.63 K:BB ratio in the second half… and a 2.86 ratio in the first half is pretty darned good, too. So why is everyone ready to ship this guy out?

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Gardner named top LF in MLB by the Fielding Bible

In what can surely be viewed as a major upset, the Yankees own Brett Gardner was named by Bill James, John Dewan and an impressive cast of baseball minds as the top defensive left fielder in MLB, surpassing free-agent-extraordinaire Carl Crawford. According to the Fielding Awards:

In the big upset of the awards, Gardner unseated three-time winner Carl Crawford by 10 points in the scoring. The judges recognized his speed and skill in covering the spacious left-field territory in the Yankees new stadium.

Very impressive! Other Yanks who ranked at least in the top five for their position:

  • Mark Teixeira, 4th for the first basemen

Yep, that’s it. Although, somehow Robinson Cano finished a disappointing sixth overall in the second base pool. Joe Posnanski, the uber-writer from SI.com, didn’t even think Cano was worthy of a Top 10 vote, which I found both surprising and unfortunate.

Curtis Granderson nabbed an 8th place for the centerfielders. One voter had him as high as #2 while he was completely left off of three other ballots.

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GGW Picture This Contest News

October 31st, 2010 by Nancy J. Ondra · No Comments

Good news, Picture This fans: you now have extra time to get ready for our next theme: Macro in a Mason Jar, judged by photographer and fellow blogger David Perry. Instead of running the contest in November, we’re going to hold it in January. So, if you haven’t had time to experiment with the technique yet, you have the next two months to try it out. The technique is perfect for this time of year, because you don’t need perfect weather or lots of fresh flowers or foliage: a single, richly colored fall leaf or one perfect late bloom can work just fine. Seeds, fruits, bits of bark, and other natural materials are also fair game. For more details, check out my experiment post or David’s original posts here and here.

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